Modeling and Simulation - naughty or nice

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This a problem set for you to work through [1]

This is a problem set. Some of these are easy, others are far more difficult. The purpose of these problems sets are:

  1. to build your skill applying computational thinking to a problem
  2. to assess your knowledge and skills of different programming practices


What is this problem set trying to do

To exercise your thinking about modeling and simulation. This problem set also raises interesting questions about right, wrong, good, bad, "degree of goodness" and "degree of badness". It's absolutely fascinating. There is a thought amongst some students this specific issue cannot be modeled.

The Problem

As you think about modeling and simulation, you should build two different models which mathematically represent what factors should contribute to being "bad" or "good". Remember, a model has:

  1. I have identified important features of whatever events I hope to represent.
  2. I identified rules that control those features and their relationships.
  3. I have expressed those rules with math.
  4. I have adjusted for how likely each factor is.

Once you have developed a model, please build a simulation for it. We are primarily concerned with the probability of being categorized as "naughty" or "nice". We are also concerned with "how much is any one person "naughty or nice".

How you will be assessed

Your solution will be graded using the following axis:


Scope

  • To what extentConsider the merits or otherwise of an argument or concept. Opinions and conclusions should be presented clearly and supported with appropriate evidence and sound argument. does your code implement the features required by our specification?
  • To what extentConsider the merits or otherwise of an argument or concept. Opinions and conclusions should be presented clearly and supported with appropriate evidence and sound argument. is there evidence of effort?

Correctness

  • To what extentConsider the merits or otherwise of an argument or concept. Opinions and conclusions should be presented clearly and supported with appropriate evidence and sound argument. did your code meet specifications?
  • To what extentConsider the merits or otherwise of an argument or concept. Opinions and conclusions should be presented clearly and supported with appropriate evidence and sound argument. did your code meet unit tests?
  • To what extentConsider the merits or otherwise of an argument or concept. Opinions and conclusions should be presented clearly and supported with appropriate evidence and sound argument. is your code free of bugs?

DesignProduce a plan, simulation or model.

  • To what extentConsider the merits or otherwise of an argument or concept. Opinions and conclusions should be presented clearly and supported with appropriate evidence and sound argument. is your code written well (i.e. clearly, efficiently, elegantly, and/or logically)?
  • To what extentConsider the merits or otherwise of an argument or concept. Opinions and conclusions should be presented clearly and supported with appropriate evidence and sound argument. is your code eliminating repetition?
  • To what extentConsider the merits or otherwise of an argument or concept. Opinions and conclusions should be presented clearly and supported with appropriate evidence and sound argument. is your code using functions appropriately?

Style

  • To what extentConsider the merits or otherwise of an argument or concept. Opinions and conclusions should be presented clearly and supported with appropriate evidence and sound argument. is your code readable?
  • To what extentConsider the merits or otherwise of an argument or concept. Opinions and conclusions should be presented clearly and supported with appropriate evidence and sound argument. is your code commented?
  • To what extentConsider the merits or otherwise of an argument or concept. Opinions and conclusions should be presented clearly and supported with appropriate evidence and sound argument. are your variables well named?
  • To what extentConsider the merits or otherwise of an argument or concept. Opinions and conclusions should be presented clearly and supported with appropriate evidence and sound argument. do you adhere to style guide?

References

A possible solution

Click the expand link to see one possible solution, but NOT before you have tried and failed!

not yet!